Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001610 0.001774 0.001939 0.002117 0.002302 0.002489 0.002691
2025-01-19 0.001317 0.001561 0.001814 0.002095 0.002395 0.002705 0.003049
2025-01-26 0.001106 0.001411 0.001737 0.002107 0.002512 0.002940 0.003421
2025-02-02 0.000934 0.001284 0.001669 0.002119 0.002621 0.003158 0.003772
2025-02-09 0.000823 0.001212 0.001654 0.002180 0.002777 0.003424 0.004172
2025-02-16 0.000757 0.001185 0.001683 0.002286 0.002980 0.003740 0.004624
2025-02-23 0.000592 0.001022 0.001542 0.002188 0.002944 0.003783 0.004770
2025-03-02 0.000475 0.000908 0.001449 0.002137 0.002956 0.003875 0.004966
2025-03-09 0.000397 0.000834 0.001400 0.002134 0.003018 0.004021 0.005218
2025-03-16 0.000344 0.000790 0.001384 0.002167 0.003122 0.004212 0.005521
2025-03-23 0.000304 0.000759 0.001383 0.002216 0.003241 0.004420 0.005841
2025-03-30 0.000262 0.000720 0.001367 0.002245 0.003335 0.004595 0.006123
2025-04-06 0.000214 0.000666 0.001330 0.002247 0.003399 0.004741 0.006375
2025-04-13 0.000164 0.000603 0.001276 0.002226 0.003433 0.004849 0.006584
2025-04-20 0.000131 0.000562 0.001251 0.002239 0.003508 0.005007 0.006850
2025-04-27 0.000102 0.000524 0.001226 0.002252 0.003581 0.005160 0.007110
2025-05-04 0.000088 0.000512 0.001240 0.002315 0.003716 0.005387 0.007456
2025-05-11 0.000084 0.000523 0.001289 0.002425 0.003911 0.005686 0.007885
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000439 0.001185 0.002324 0.003836 0.005658 0.007931
2025-05-25 0.000024 0.000383 0.001119 0.002272 0.003821 0.005702 0.008058
2025-06-01 0.000013 0.000350 0.001089 0.002268 0.003867 0.005817 0.008270
2025-06-08 0.000007 0.000334 0.001086 0.002303 0.003962 0.005993 0.008553
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000325 0.001095 0.002353 0.004077 0.006193 0.008864